DCT Simulator
Take Meridian, the books' case company, through the seven moves of DCT. Every outcome was computed in advance by the books' own models, on the books' own random streams, so each choice you make shows its result at once. Every number shows its source and its status, and each gate on the DCT Helix opens only on the book's certificate.
- Meridian is fictional; its numbers are the book's declarations.
- A teaching instrument, not management or investment advice.
Meridian today
| Reading | Value | Error band | Measured by | System | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| liquidity | 0.62 US$ billion | ±1% | treasury systems | Hard | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| net leverage | 3.4 net debt / EBITDA | ±2% | audited accounts | Hard | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| workforce capability | 58 index, 0–100 | ±5 | skills survey | Soft | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| technology platform | 41 index, 0–100 | ±4 | architecture audit | Hard | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| operational efficiency | 71 index, 0–100 | ±3 | cost benchmarking | Hard | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| ROIC | 0.083 ratio | ±0.4 pp | audited accounts | Value | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| strategic risk | 64 index, 0–100 | ±6 | risk committee | Control | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
| market share | 0.19 ratio | ±0.8 pp | industry data | Value | Vol. I, Tables 3.1 and 5.2 Book declaration |
Meridian's commitments
board floor
≥ 350 $ million
Owner: board
Quantifier: probability 0.95 over 12 quarters
P(liquidity < floor in some quarter) - 0.05 <= 0
Vol. I, Table 5.4; Worked Examples 15.1 and 16.1 Book declaration
covenant
≤ 4.5 net debt / EBITDA
Owner: CFO
Quantifier: on the path
(net_debt + line) / ebitda - 4.5 <= 0
Vol. I, Table 5.4; Worked Examples 15.1 and 16.1 Book declaration
capability floor
≥ 55 index, 0–100
Owner: HR, CTO
Quantifier: on the path
55 - capability <= 0
Vol. I, Worked Examples 15.1 and 16.1 Book declaration
strategic-risk ceiling
≤ 75 index, 0–100
Owner: CRO, board
Quantifier: on the path
peak strategic risk - 75 <= 0
Vol. I, Table 5.4; Worked Examples 15.1 and 16.1 Book declaration
register
≤ 0.4
Owner: risk office
Quantifier: on the path
|A_ij| - M_ij <= 0, every core link at most 0.40
Vol. I, Worked Examples 15.1 and 16.1 Book declaration
The seven moves
What the simulator is
The simulator runs the books' own models on the books' own company, so every number it shows can be checked against the laboratories. It is not AXIOM, and it holds no data about any real company.
AXIOM Dynamics, the web platform, is in preparation; walkthroughs are available.
